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The way I see it, if it follows logically from a previous post (perhaps adding to a quote, extending or countering a point...) it's not offtopic. That's how discussions work - they do jump from subject to subject in a logical fashion, following many branches of a complex conversational tree of dialogue.
Most of the "offtopic" posts don't jump out from nowhere. There's always something in the previous posts leading to it. It's just that most of the time, it gets blown out of proportion, overshadowing the main topic.
We should take the following into account:
- How important is the secondary subject to the first subject
Even it may following logical steps, is it worthwhile to discuss something that doesn't matter when there's a more important issue at hand?
- How much of the whole topic is spent on discussing the secondary subject
If only one or two posts, and then it went back ontopic, then who cares.
- How much of the first topic has been explored
Maybe the original topic has been well discussed and exhausted, and we're exploring something else.
- The topic starter's reaction
When the topic starter comes back, is he gonna find what he's looking for, or some other useless crap?
I won't try to define what offtopic is. It will have to be dealt with on a case by case basis. Although I'd say posts that challenge the topic itself should not be considered offtopic. That is, in a topic named "give theories on what Robotnik would do to the Master Emerald in HPZ", you can debunk it instead of providing theories.
The bottom line is, instead of second guessing whether your post will be trashed, you can always start a new topic on it.